TAG Industrial Watch: September 13, 2025

Along with high interest rates and inflation, President Trump’s tariffs are beginning to have a noticeable impact on employment, specifically jobs tied directly to industrial real estate. Since the president’s Liberation Day announcement on April 2nd, manufacturing employment through August is down by -42,000 jobs. The Wholesale trade industry has shed -29,200 jobs, and while transportation and warehousing added 5,600 workers, this is down significantly from last year’s pace of 36,900 jobs during the same time period (FRED). Given that the Bureau of Labor Statistics just announced its annual preliminary revision of the number of jobs reported from March 2024 to February 2025 by a record -911,000, the jobs reported since then will probably experience further downward revisions (CNBC). As industrial tenants cut their workforce, the amount of industrial space they occupy will likely follow suit. With this understanding, industrial landlords will need to adjust their expectations and lease rates to help maintain occupancy and thus, the value of their properties.

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I N D U S T R I A L   N E W S

Tariff Uncertainty, High Interest Rates
Muffle Demand For Industrial Real Estate

REjournals – September 2, 2025
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Job Growth Revised Down By 911,000 Through March,
Signaling Economy On Shakier Footing Than Realized 

CNBC – September 9, 2025
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Inflation And Unemployment Filings Are Up,
With No Silver Lining This Time

Axios – September 11, 2025
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Old Dominion Sees Tonnage Slide Further In August
FreightWaves – September 4, 2025
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Prologis Finds Logistics Customers
Are Taking Wait-And-See Approach

GlobeSt.com – August 6, 2025
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R E G I O N A L   N E W S

Trammell Crow, Daiwa Deliver
1.35M-SF Houston Industrial Park

Connect CRE – September 8, 2025
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HydroGraph USA Signs 20,555 SF
Industrial Lease In South Austin

REBusiness – September 4, 2025
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MetLife Sells SoCal Industrial Properties For $166M
Commercial Property Executive – September 2, 2025
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Chicago Industrial Set For Period Of Rent
Abatements As Landlords’ Leverage Wanes

GlobeSt.com – September 10, 2025
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Dallas Firm To Break Ground On $40M+
Industrial Development In South Fort Worth

Dallas Innovates – September 2, 2025
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