TAG Industrial Watch: November 23, 2024

TAG was one of the first to foreshadow the overbuilding concerns among big-box warehouses that have percolated headlines in 2024. With big-box vacancies touching 9% in Q4 for the first time since Q2 2011, another important observation is going unnoticed. Supply is not the only concern for big-box investors but demand. At its current pace, net absorption this year will slip to a 10-year low. While big-box demand hasn’t joined small industrial and midsize in negative territory, the trend is heading that way. Without a quick turnaround in big-box net absorption, overall industrial demand will post its first negative quarter since the economy emerged from the Great Recession in Q1 2010. With the big-box sector having to contend with weak demand on top of oversupply, institutional demand will continue to seek out safe havens on the lower end of the spectrum, helping to support investment demand for small industrial properties.


I N D U S T R I A L   N E W S

Warehouse Oversupply Hits Big Box Sector
GlobeSt.com – November 13, 2024
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Industrial Demand Slips, But Avoids A Slump
Commercial Property Executive – November 12, 2024
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Trump Tariffs To Slow US Trade, Says Analyst 
FreightWaves – November 21, 2024
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Trump’s Proposals Spell Pressure For Mortgage Rates
TheRealDeal – November 21, 2024
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Investors Are Increasingly Reluctant To Buy
US Treasuries Even At These Yields

ZeroHedge – November 21, 2024
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R E G I O N A L   N E W S

238K-SF Houston Industrial Property Changes Hands
Connect CRE – October 11, 2024
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Chicago Industrial Markets Seeking Equilibrium
REjournals – November 20, 2024
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‘Big D’ Industrial Stays On Top
Commercial Property Executive – November 20, 2024
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Realterm And Titan Development Announce Joint
Venture To Develop Laredo, TX Industrial Facility

CityBiz – November 15, 2024
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ZS Capital Partners Pays $9.4M For Small-
Bay Industrial Property In Longmont

Mile High CRE – October 24, 2024
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